Fragile States Forum http://www.fragilestates.org Analyzing Governance, Development, and State Building Thu, 28 Jul 2016 19:26:56 +0000 en-US hourly 1 State Fragility and the Risk Cascade http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/28/state-fragility-risk-cascade/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/28/state-fragility-risk-cascade/#respond Thu, 28 Jul 2016 19:26:56 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3999 The biggest risks fragile states generate are often the product of second, third, or higher order effects that an initial crisis generates over time. These higher order effects are especially hard to predict, which mean that we rarely have a firm grasp of the risk posed by a crisis. Indeed, even if the immediate impact […]

The post State Fragility and the Risk Cascade appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/28/state-fragility-risk-cascade/feed/ 0
African Currency Reform: Stamping Out Illicit Money Increases Inequality http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/21/african-currency-reform-inequality/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/21/african-currency-reform-inequality/#respond Thu, 21 Jul 2016 15:32:57 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3995 Many analysts of the African financial markets may have missed a recent Harvard Kennedy School for Business and Government working paper authored by Peter Sands that made a case for banning high denomination currency notes such as the €500 note, the £50 note, the CHF1000 note and the $100 note. The working paper by Peter […]

The post African Currency Reform: Stamping Out Illicit Money Increases Inequality — Victor Odundo Owuor appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/07/21/african-currency-reform-inequality/feed/ 0
Reversing Course in Libya: Starting From Where the Real Power Lies http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/06/26/reversing-course-libya-starting-real-power-lies/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/06/26/reversing-course-libya-starting-real-power-lies/#respond Sun, 26 Jun 2016 22:12:56 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3991 There has been at least a bit of good news from Libya lately. Over the past few weeks, militias allied with the internationally recognized unity government have made substantial advances against Islamic State forces based in the city of Sirte. That has awakened hopes that Libyans might be on their way toward re-establishing an effective […]

The post Reversing Course in Libya: Starting From Where the Real Power Lies appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/06/26/reversing-course-libya-starting-real-power-lies/feed/ 0
Reforming humanitarian system requires supporting organic political change http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/05/23/reforming-humanitarian-system-requires-supporting-organic-political-change/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/05/23/reforming-humanitarian-system-requires-supporting-organic-political-change/#respond Mon, 23 May 2016 12:06:24 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3985 World leaders are gathering in Istanbul, Turkey, this week during the World Humanitarian Summit; a first time event since the inception of the United Nations. Officials from conflict-affected countries will be there, trying to share what they go through, and listening carefully to what will be decided. The Secretary General of the UN (UNSG) has […]

The post Reforming humanitarian system requires supporting organic political change — Habib Ur Rehman Mayar appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/05/23/reforming-humanitarian-system-requires-supporting-organic-political-change/feed/ 0
Thinking and working with political settlements http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/04/08/thinking-working-political-settlements/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/04/08/thinking-working-political-settlements/#comments Fri, 08 Apr 2016 21:50:01 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3969 This article aims to give some advice to development practitioners, especially those working in-country, on how to use Political Settlements Analysis (PSA) as a diagnostic tool for country programming. This advice draws on cutting-edge political settlements work to provide a simple set of questions that can help country staff identify the type of settlement they […]

The post Thinking and working with political settlements — Tim Kelsall appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/04/08/thinking-working-political-settlements/feed/ 1
Protest, Emancipation and Turmoil in South Africa: The Age of Discontent http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/21/protest-emancipation-turmoil-south-africa-age-discontent/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/21/protest-emancipation-turmoil-south-africa-age-discontent/#comments Mon, 21 Mar 2016 14:11:23 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3963 The protests at different South African Universities have continued in 2016. The emergence of these protests should be analyzed in the context of a nation that gave freedom and full citizenry (at least in theory) to its entire population almost 22 years ago. They should also not be seen as independent from the transformations in […]

The post Protest, Emancipation and Turmoil in South Africa: The Age of Discontent appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/21/protest-emancipation-turmoil-south-africa-age-discontent/feed/ 1
When Will the Center for Global Development Get Political? http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/04/will-center-global-development-get-political/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/04/will-center-global-development-get-political/#respond Fri, 04 Mar 2016 12:33:40 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3955 The Center for Global Development (CGD) just turned fifteen. It has achieved a lot; it has created a space in Washington for sophisticated thinking on important development issues such as healthcare, education, and migration; it has influenced government policy in a whole slew of ways, big and small. It is easily the most important development […]

The post When Will the Center for Global Development Get Political? appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/03/04/will-center-global-development-get-political/feed/ 0
How Technology Can Help Refugees Return Home After Conflict http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/16/how-technology-help-refugees-return-home-after-conflict/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/16/how-technology-help-refugees-return-home-after-conflict/#respond Wed, 17 Feb 2016 03:10:58 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3943 The opening photo raises a critical question. If indeed the digital disruption has already happened, how can the peacekeeping and humanitarian aid community leverage this power to rapidly address important components of the current refugee and migrant crisis. As the Syrian conflict has moved into its fifth year, forced human migration has reached unprecedented levels. […]

The post How Technology Can Help Refugees Return Home After Conflict – By Emily Frank and Jon Unruh appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/16/how-technology-help-refugees-return-home-after-conflict/feed/ 0
The Limits of the ‘Thinking and Working Politically’ Agenda http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/the-limits-of-the-thinking-and-working-politically-agenda/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/the-limits-of-the-thinking-and-working-politically-agenda/#respond Tue, 16 Feb 2016 03:24:45 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3950 There is an assumption in international aid just now that if only we can build a better donor, every sustainable development goal will be achievable and every program transformational. Ideas such as ‘thinking and working politically,’ problem driven iterative adaptation, and ‘doing development differently’ in particular have received a lot of attention. These are all […]

The post The Limits of the ‘Thinking and Working Politically’ Agenda appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/the-limits-of-the-thinking-and-working-politically-agenda/feed/ 0
African Economies: Underestimating the Impact of China and Commodities http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/african-economies-underestimating-impact-china-commodities/ http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/african-economies-underestimating-impact-china-commodities/#respond Tue, 16 Feb 2016 02:19:14 +0000 http://www.fragilestates.org/?p=3934 The economic downturn in China, dropping commodity prices, and receding international trade will continue to have an impact on African countries economic prospects. These factors are behind the pessimistic projection in a recent IMF report citing a fall in African GDP growth rates to 3.75% in 2015 from an average of 5% in 2014. However, […]

The post African Economies: Underestimating the Impact of China and Commodities – By Aaron Stanley appeared first on Fragile States Forum.

]]>
http://www.fragilestates.org/2016/02/15/african-economies-underestimating-impact-china-commodities/feed/ 0