Tag Archives: rebellion

How Long is the Assad Regime Likely to Survive in Syria?



Joshua Landis, who runs the blog Syria Comment and teaches at the University of Oklahoma, has a great essay for Middle East Policy on the prospects for the Assad regime in Syria. He believes it will last at least into 2013: (more…)

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The perils of regime change in Syria



Many Western leaders have called for regime change in Syria. As Barack Obama said in August:

We have consistently said that President Assad must lead a democratic transition or get out of the way. He has not led. For the sake of the Syrian people, the time has come for President Assad to step aside.

Both the United States and the European Union have imposed sanctions. Turkey and the Arab League are likely to follow.

Many, including Richard Gowan of GD, bemoan the inability of the United Nations to act more resolutely.

But what exactly are all the leaders, analysts, and pundits promoting change in Syria actually expecting to happen? The Assad regime to simply hand over power and walk away after four decades? (more…)

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